The 1-percent solution: Buy more luxury toys

Double dip? You mean like when you’re digging into your wallet for that second pair of Blahnik pumps?

Luxury shoppers are shrugging off the threat of a global recession, braving choppy stock markets and rising Wall Street protests to splurge on Louis Vuitton handbags, Dior dresses and Bulgari watches.

That, at least, is what French luxury conglomerate LVMH told investors yesterday as it reported a 15-percent gain in third-quarter sales, adding that its business outlook for the rest of the year is upbeat.

“In the current environment, most people are looking for reasons to be worried rather than to be optimistic,” LVMH finance director Jean-Jacques Guiony said, referring to fears about Europe’s debt crisis that have rocked stock markets worldwide.

While those worries limited sales growth in Europe to 7 percent in the most recent quarter, revenue was up 18 percent in the US and 27 percent in Asia, the company said.

This week, a study by Bain & Co. that was commissioned by Italian luxury trade group Altagamma predicted global luxury sales will grow 10 percent this year, adding that the sector “is in good health.”

Watches and jewelry are expected to post the strongest increases, growing by 18 percent, followed by accessories at 13 percent and clothing at 8 percent.

Nevertheless, the report noted that growth will be driven by expansion in China, with luxury sales in Europe and the US next year expected to rise just 3.75 percent and 6 percent, respectively.

Lapse of Luxury… Japan’s disasters weigh on upscale stocks

The luxury retail world is bracing for an aftershock.

Stocks, including Tiffany, Coach and Polo Ralph Lauren, got hit yesterday in a global sell-off as investors fretted over the devastation in Japan would quash the country’s insatiable appetite for designer goods.

Japan consumes 11 percent of the world’s luxury goods, making it one of the most concentrated sources of revenue for upscale brands. A pullback there could pressure sales of high-end retailers for years, analysts said.

Yesterday, hundred of billions in market value were erased in just hours as the selling surge hit the world’s financial centers. Burberry shares fell 4.3 percent, LVMH dropped 3.1 percent, Coach lost 5.6 percent and Tiffany fell 4.9 percent.

Tiffany has 55 stores in Japan and gets 19 percent of its revenue there, while the island nation accounts for 20 percent of Coach’s total sales. “A more negative for the luxury-goods companies would be if the nuclear accident burdened the general global mood,” Swiss asset manager Sarasin said in a note.

The damage from the earthquake and tsunami — and fears of a nuclear meltdown — also hit the global financial markets as investors tried to assess the fallout. Tokyo’s stock market plunged 6.2 percent yesterday, and the slide continued when the Nikkei 225 fell more than 14 percent this afternoon before ending the day down 11 percent. Major European indexes were off between about 1 percent and 1.6 percent. US stocks withstood much of the pounding, with the broader markets losing about a half-percent.

Power brands on the Nikkei were hammered, with Sony down 9.1 percent, Toyota off 8 percent, and Toshiba, which also makes nuclear reactors, plummeting 16 percent. The nation’s investors lost more than $285 billion in the first trading day after the natural disasters.

“The earthquake could have great implications on the global economic front,” said Andre Bakhos, chief market analyst at Lek Securities. “If you shut down Japan, there could be a global recession.”

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 51.24 points to 11,993.16 while the S&P 500 index slipped 7.89 to 1,296.39 and the Nasdaq composite index fell 14.64 to 2,700.97.

As expected, nuclear energy firms took a beating: Entergy fell 4.9 percent and Toronto’s Cameco, one of the world’s largest publicly traded uranium companies, was off 13 percent. General Electric, a maker of nuclear reactors, dropped 1.6 percent, while Exelon, the largest owner of reactors, fell 1.8 percent.

Meanwhile, Germany canceled plans to expand its reactor sites.

After weeks of decline, natural gas rallied here by 0.6 percent in anticipation of an 8.6 percent rise in demand for safer natural gas.

With insurance claims likely to skyrocket, underwriters tumbled. Munich Re fell 3.7 percent, Hartford Financial dropped 3 percent and Aflac lost 3.6 percent.

Prices also fell for rubber futures in anticipation of slower auto assembly lines in Japan. In addition, less consumer demand amid the devastation pushed down global prices for sugar, coffee, cattle and hogs, with pork hitting a 10-week low.

On the flip side, Caterpillar gained 2.1 percent on prospects of more orders for the massive recovery facing Japan and its global partners

TAG Heuer Carrera MP4-12C for McLaren

McLaren and TAG Heuer have a longstanding history. Never mind that the F1 team’s drivers Lewis Hamilton and Jenson Button are both brand ambassadors for the Swiss watchmaker. Heuer took the TAG name when Mansour Ojjeh’s Techniques d’Avant Garde – onetime supplier of McLaren’s turbocharged Porsche F1 engines and still a part owner of the racing team turned automaker – took it over in the pre-LVMH days. TAG Heuer crafted special watches to accompany both the legendaryMcLaren F1 and the subsequent Mercedes-Benz SLR McLaren, and has now returned for a new watch to compliment the new MP4-12C supercar.
Based on the Carrera model, the MP4-12C edition features a carbon fiber dial with a large window to see the movement and a big orange zero where the 12 should be (to make it look more like a speedometer), housed in a sandblasted titanium case and affixed to the wrist with a perforated Alcantara strap. The orange detailing reflects McLaren’s traditional color, and the 47-jewel Dubois Depraz Calibre 4900 fly-back chronograph movement features a perpetual calendar display. Only 1000 examples of this exclusive timepiece will be made.

LVMH Poised To Take Over Luxury Brand Hermes?

“If you are friendly, you will withdraw Mr. Arnault” – a statement recently made by Hermes Group board to LVMH CEO Bernard Arnault. Recently LVMH acquired a full 17 percent of Hermes stock, signaling a possible move to take over the popular family-owned luxury brand. Hermes is one of the last remaining family-owned major luxury brands, most are part of larger groups such as LVMH and the Richemont Group. LVMH is said to be the largest luxury group in the world.
After acquiring the large stake in Hermes, LVMH announced that it did not have current intentions to take over Hermes. Hermes has made it very clear that they do not wish to be part of a large luxury group – a move that would fundamentally change how the brand is run and operated. Hermes seems to be dedicated to remaining independent, which is understandable given the massive changes that occur when large groups take over such brands.

The good name of Hermes would benefit LVMH that already has names such as Louis Vuitton – arguably a direct competitor of Hermes. With Hermes under its belt, LVHM would have more ammo to fight the Richemont Group – which is arguably its largest competitor. At issue are a range of products such as leather goods, lifestyle products, clothing, watches, jewelry, and more.

While LVMH seems clear in their dis-intent to take over Hermes completely at this time, the act of buying 17 percent of the stock is not without meaning. LVMH likely wants to prevent other groups from taking the brand over, and may also be planning out ways of engaging in a future friendly or hostile take over. Hermes family members are said to retain about 73 percent of all Hermes shares. So LVMH would have to negotiate the family members directly in order to pursue such a takeover – who have special rights associated with Hermes bylaws in order to prevent hostile takeover attempts. Stay tuned in the next year or so to see what becomes of this potential take over attempt.

Luxury retail biz soaring despite woeful economy

Prada shoes, Hermes handbags and Valentino dresses are selling briskly, as are shares of the companies that own those luxury brands.

French luxury conglomerate PPR said yesterday its sales in the most recent quarter surged 17 percent, driven by demand in the US and Europe for its Gucci and Alexander McQueen labels. The news gave a boost to PPR’s shares, which are up nearly 15 percent over the past six months.

The recent buying frenzy for shares of luxury brands has been fueled partly by demand from the firms themselves.

LVMH — which counts Louis Vuitton and Fendi in its stable of prestigious brands — said this week it may enlarge a 17-percent stake it recently bought in Hermes. And last week, Tod’s CEO Diego Della Valle disclosed he has become the largest shareholder of Saks after amassing a 19-percent stake.

Luxury insiders are mounting such shopping sprees partly because the stock market’s recent rally is poised to fuel solid demand for pricey merchandise during the holidays — a trend that’s sure to boost profits.

But luxury bigwigs also appear to be betting on a sustained growth streak ahead, both here and in overseas emerging markets, according to Michael Appel of the consulting firm AlixPartners.

“From their perspective, it’s a long-term value play,” Appel told The Post. “There is a lot of wealth being created in places like China, and there are a lot of luxury brands that have tremendous potential in the coming years.”

While luxury spending is still well short of the lofty levels of 2005 and 2006, industry watchers say the psychology of wealthy shoppers has been as much of a problem as their bank accounts.

During the recession, “it just wasn’t cool to spend,” Appel said. Lately, however, the improving stock market “has given them a bit more confidence that things are moving in the right direction.”

It’s easier for the wealthy to be confident not only because they get bigger paychecks, but also because they’ve been relatively insulated from the spotty job market. While US unemployment hovers near double digits, the figure is less than 4 percent for those with incomes of $100,000 and up, according to consulting firm Bain & Co.

However, the moods of the wealthiest shoppers — while still the most upbeat — have cooled since the summer, according to Andrew Sacks of AgencySacks, a consultant to the luxury sector.

He speculates that the recent spate of insider buying in luxury is a reflection of operations that were streamlined during the recession and are now poised to reap higher profits as a recovery takes hold.

“So many of these companies are so much leaner, they’ve become efficient businesses again,” Sacks said.

LVMH Picks Up A Share Of Luxury Brand Hermes

Luxury conglomerate LVMH has gobbled up a piece of the desirable luxury brand Hermes. TheFinancial Times reported that LVMH announced that they purchased 15,016,000 shares of Hermès International, a 14.2 percent of the share capital of the company. Through various other actions the company plans to increase its share to 17.1 percent. In the announcement LVMH was very careful to state that its goal is not to take over control of the company or even sit on the Board. The announcement states that the objective of LVMH is to be a “long-term shareholder” and to”contribute to the preservation of the family and French attributes which are at the heart of the global success of this iconic brand.”
Still, there is reason to be concerned, often when a company takes a piece of another company it’s often a prelude to takeover. And while the share is relatively modest at this point, footholds have a tendency of growing with time. Even in this uncertain luxury climate Hermes has continued to thrive making it a hot commodity. LVMH got to be LVMH by absorbing a variety of previously family-owned businesses, there’s no guarantee that Hermes might not someday be one of them.

Luxury Goods Giant LVMH Seeing Better Times

LVMH, the world’s leading luxury retailer and marketer of such as brands as Dom Perignon and Dior, said its sales so far this year have risen sharply, driven largely by Asia and by demand for champagne.

The strong performance from LVMH, and its top-branded products under the Louis Vuitton name, is in line with other luxury marketers since the beginning of the year, indicating that spending in the luxury sectors has returned in earnest.

LVMH said its sales rose 23.6 percent in the third quarter and were up 19 percent at 14.2 billion euros (19.9 billion dollars) for the nine months to September compared with the same period in 2009.

The Fashion and Leather goods division was the biggest earner, with nine-month sales of 5.46 billion euros up 20 percent, following by Selective Retailing with sales of 3.71 billion euros, up 17 percent.

Wines and Spirits jumped 22 percent to 2.15 billion euros.
LVMH said the “excellent performance” in the nine months confirmed its confidence for full-year 2010.

LVMH counts among its brands, Givenchy and Guerlain perfumes, as well as Moet and Chandon,Glenmorangie and Ardbeg Scotch whiskies.

LVMH’s shares are up 41% so far this year.

Luxury sales back at record levels in 2011: study

The global market for luxury goods is expected to return to pre-crisis levels in 2011 on the back of a 10 percent growth this year, helped by booming Asia and Chinese tourists shopping in Europe, a report said on Monday.

U.S. consultancy Bain & Co said in a study on the outlook for the industry published on Monday it expects sales of luxury goods to rise between 3 and 5 percent next year, with leather bags, watches and jewels driving the recovery.

Global sales should rise to 173-176 billion euros ($246 billion) in 2011, up from 170 billion euros in 2007.

“In the first half of this year we talked about a light at the end of the tunnel,” Santo Versace, chairman of Italian luxury goods association Altagamma which contributed to the study, said in a statement.

“On the basis of the preliminary 2010 figures, we can confirm that positive trend,” Santo Versace, who is also chairman of Italian fashion house Versace.

Global sales of luxury goods are expected to grow 10 percent to 168 billion euros this year, after falling 8 percent in 2009, the worst year for the industry in more than two decades, the study said.

However, players with global reach, strong brand heritage and efficient retail network have weathered the storm.

LVMH (LVMH.PA), the world’s biggest luxury group beat third-quarter forecasts this month, confirming a strong rebound in the sector.

China remains the fastest-growing luxury market with sales expected to rise 30 percent this year, while crisis-hit Japan will start to recover only next year, the study showed.

Sales in Europe, whose luxury brands account for around 75 percent of the global market, are seen up 6 percent this year, fueled by shoppers from emerging markets such as China.

The United States, where sales fell 15 percent in 2009 hit by discounts at department stores, are seen growing sales by 7 percent higher this year, or 12 percent at constant foreign exchange rates.

“Global consumption in 2011 should be significantly close to the record levels of 2007,” Altagamma’s secretary general Armando Branchini said in a statement.

Leather bags, shoes, jewelry and watches are expected to rise more than 8 percent next year, trailed by clothing, perfumes, cosmetics and tablewear.

The luxury yacht industry will continue to fall at double-digit rates this year to an estimated 6.4 billion euros, Bain said, with smaller boats reacting better to the unfavorable sales environment.

Although competition remains tough, luxury goods groups’ margins are expected to improve next year.

LVMH Watches and Jewelry Up 29%

LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton, the world’s leading luxury group, said Thursday that revenue for its Watches & Jewelry business group grew at a record pace of 29 percent in the first nine months of 2010 with many of its iconic brands leading the way. Organic growth, when currency fluctuations were not taken into account, was 22 percent. This business group outperformed all other product categories for the international luxury retail conglomerate.
TAG Heuer, which has been expanding worldwide, has benefited from the new models launched for its 150th anniversary celebration. Hublot gained market share due to the “excellent performance” of its Big Bang and King Power lines, the company said. Zenith’s new collections were “very favorably received.” The jewelry brands Chaumet, Fred and De Beers also reported strong growth.

The company as a whole achieved revenue of €14.2 billion ($20 billion) in the first nine months of 2010, a year-over-year increase of 19 percent, LVMH said. Organic revenue growth was 14 percent for the period. Without releasing exact numbers, the company said Asia, Europe and America performed well.

In addition, all its product categories achieved double-digit growth. The results are as follows:

* Wine & Spirits, 22 percent;
* Fashion & Leather Goods, 20 percent
* Perfumes & Cosmetics, 14 percent
* Selective Retailing, 17 percent

LVMH to Open New Luxury Hotels

cheval  blanc hotel
Luxury Goods conglomerate LVMH, owner of Louis Vuitton, plans to open a series of new luxury hotels starting in Oman and Egypt. The hotels will incorporate LVMH brands such as Vuitton and Dior boutiques and Givenchy spas. The company has created LVMH Hotel Management to “oversee the group’s activities in the luxury hotel sector” and “maximize the value of its brands”. The two new hotels, named Cheval Blanc after one of LVMH’s famed Bordeaux vineyards, are slated to open in 2012. The move follows the successful 2006 opening of the LVMH-backed Cheval Blanc hotel in Courchevel, France (above). The Maison Cheval Blanc in Oman is sited on the 11 square- kilometer island of Al Sodah and will include 32 private villas. The development in Egypt is on the private island of Amoun in Aswan and will include about 40 suites overlooking the Nile. LVMH notes that “other projects are currently under study in exceptional destinations”. The company won’t own the real estate or finance construction, but will instead run the resorts under management contract.